News

Release Time: 10:00 AM, September 17, 2025

Released by: Mr. Tony

MARKET OVERVIEW

1. Stock Market:

• Vietnam: The market attempted to test the 1,700 level but failed and pulled back by the end of the session. Rising liquidity indicates growing selling pressure as it approached the previous peak. Profit-taking pressure could drag the market back to the MA(20) zone around 1,663 points to attract supportive cash flow before stabilizing and regaining momentum to sustain the uptrend.

• U.S.: Signs of caution emerged as investors await the Fed’s rate decision. August retail sales rose 0.6%, beating forecasts of 0.3%, showing consumers still have strength despite a weakening labor market. Major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new lows before rebounding slightly, while the Dow Jones fell about 0.3%. The USD fell to a 4-year low against the Euro, reinforcing expectations of a 0.25-point Fed rate cut. However, strong consumption data may prompt the Fed to take a more "cautious" stance than expected.

2. Forex:

• USD/JPY: Bearish trend, short positions can be considered. Daily resistance: 147.000

• GBP/USD: Bullish trend, long positions can be considered. Daily support: 1.36300

3. Gold:

Spot gold reached ~US$3,689.27/oz before easing slightly to ~US$3,683.28/oz, supported by a weaker USD and strong expectations of a Fed rate cut. December gold futures held steady around ~US$3,720.10/oz. Year-to-date, gold has shown robust growth—driven by investment demand, central bank purchases, and strong safe-haven sentiment.

4. Oil:

• XTI/USD: Bullish trend, long positions can be considered. Daily support: 63.50

5. Crypto:

BTC is currently trading around ~US$115,540, reflecting a sentiment of cautious optimism in the market.
Technical: BTC is moving in a symmetrical triangle pattern, often signaling a potential breakout if buying pressure strengthens. Key resistance levels being monitored: ~US$116,000 – US$118,000. A breakout above could pave the way for higher highs. Otherwise, BTC may consolidate or pull back slightly from this zone.

TRADING PLAN

• Vietnam Stocks: Recommendation to WAIT FOR BUY on DBC (17/09/2025), entry price 27,000–28,000 VND, target 1: 31,000, target 2: 34,000 VND, stop loss 25,400 VND.

  

• BTC/USD

  • Trend: Bullish

  • Recommendation: Buy at 117,000, stop loss 113,000, take profit 121,000
    

TODAY’S KEY EVENTS

1:00 PM – GBP
CPI y/y (Consumer Price Index YoY)
Actual: 3.8% | Forecast: 3.8%

8:45 PM – CAD
BOC Rate Statement
Overnight Rate
Actual: 2.50% | Forecast: 2.75%

9:30 PM – CAD
BOC Press Conference

DISCLAIMER

• The above analysis represents only the personal views of analyst Tony from Lotus and should not be considered as a basis for actual market participation.

• Lotus only provides technical trading analysis and trading education for learners.

• Lotus does not represent any securities company or asset management firm.

• Lotus does not manage learners’ funds.