Gold: Is it preparing to set a new high or about to decline sharply from the current peak?

Release Time: 10:00 AM, September 12, 2025

Publisher: Mr. Tony


MARKET OVERVIEW

1. Stock Market

  • Vietnam Market:
    The market found support at the 1,605 level and rebounded above MA(20). Liquidity improved but still remained below the 20-session average, indicating that capital is attempting to absorb low-priced supply. However, selling pressure could increase around the resistance zones of 1,665 – 1,700. To maintain a balanced trend, the market requires more stable buying force around MA(20).

  • U.S. Market:
    Optimism continues to spread as major U.S. indices hit new highs: S&P 500 rose to a record 6,587.47 (+0.8%), Dow Jones surged 1.4% surpassing 46,000 for the first time, while Nasdaq added about 0.7%.


2. Forex

  • GBP/USD remains in an uptrend, daily support at 1.35000.

  • USD/JPY remains in a downtrend, daily resistance at 147.800.


3. Gold

Gold prices remain near historic highs, supported by softer U.S. economic data that has boosted expectations of a Fed rate cut. Spot gold is trading around $3,636.59/oz, after briefly reaching $3,673.95/oz earlier in the week. December gold futures also remain firm near the highs, with slight pullbacks. Gold is in a consolidation phase after a strong rally, as investors cautiously await CPI and inflation data to determine the next trend.


4. Oil

  • XTI/USD remains in a downtrend, daily resistance at 62.50.


5. Crypto

Bitcoin is currently trading around $115,500–$115,600, slightly higher than the previous session. BTC remains stable in the high range after a prior breakout. This is considered a consolidation phase – price fluctuating in a wide range without a clear next direction.


TRADING STRATEGY

  • Vietnam Stocks:
    HPG – Recommendation: BUY HPG (12/09/2025)
    Entry: 28,500 – 29,200 VND
    Target 1: 31,000 VND
    Target 2: 35,000 VND
    Stop-loss: 27,400 VND

  • Gold:
    Trend: Uptrend
    Recommendation: Buy at 3,337 – 3,339
    Stop-loss: 3,328
    Take-profit: 3,360 – 3,374


KEY EVENTS TODAY

1:00 PM – GBP

  • GDP m/m
    Actual: 0.0% | Forecast: 0.4%

9:00 PM – USD

  • Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment
    Actual: 58.2 | Forecast: 58.2

  • Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations
    Actual: 4.8%


DISCLAIMER

  • The above analysis represents only the personal views of analyst Tony from Lotus and should not be considered as a basis for real market participation.

  • Lotus only provides technical trading analysis and trading education for learners.

  • Lotus does not represent any securities company or asset management firm.

  • Lotus does not manage learners’ funds.