News

Release Time: 10:00, August 15, 2025

Issued by: Mr. Tony

MARKET OVERVIEW

1. Stock Market

• Vietnam:
  The market continues its upward momentum after several consecutive sessions. Liquidity has declined but remains high, indicating that capital inflow still supports the market and selling pressure is not excessive. The prevailing uptrend and demand advantage could push the index toward the 1,650 – 1,660 range, although supply at this level may trigger contention.

• United States:
  The S&P 500 rose modestly by less than 0.1%, closing at a new high. Dow Jones and Nasdaq were virtually unchanged, while the Russell 2000 – representing small caps – fell about 1.2%. July’s Producer Price Index (PPI) increased more than expected (+3.3% vs. the forecast of 2.5%), raising doubts about the Fed’s ability to cut interest rates soon and tempering market expectations.

2. Forex

• EUR/USD:

  • Current Trend: Slight decline.

  • The price is undergoing a technical rebound after a sharp drop.

  • Resistance: 1.1700

  • Support: 1.1500

  • If it breaks below 1.1500 → a deeper decline may follow.

  • If it holds above 1.1500 → could rebound to 1.1650–1.1700.

• USD/JPY:

  • Main Trend: Slight decline after peaking around 151.00.

  • Current Price: In correction after bouncing from the 145.90 low.

  • Nearby Resistance: 148.40 – 149.00

  • Nearby Support: 146.00 – 145.90

  • Holding above 146.00 → recovery may continue.

  • Breaking below 145.90 → medium-term downtrend will resume.

3. Gold

After three consecutive gains, on August 14, gold experienced a sharp correction back to the 3,333 level. This decline can be seen as a release of current tensions regarding geopolitical uncertainty after yesterday’s news release.

4. Oil

• Main Trend: Steep decline from $72 to near $61.

• Current: Technical rebound, price approaching $64.50.

• Nearby Resistance: $65.50 – $66.30

• Nearby Support: $61.00 – $60.50

• Failure to break $65.50 → likely further decline.

• Break above $66.30 → medium-term rebound wave possible.

5. Crypto

Bitcoin is currently around $118,755, down about 3.9% from the previous session, fluctuating in the $117,449 – $123,845 range. A few days ago, Bitcoin broke its previous all-time high near $124k, driven by expectations of a Fed rate cut, strong institutional inflows, and supportive policies from the Trump administration. Overall, BTC is undergoing a mild correction from recent highs—medium-term bullish signals remain if the $118–$120k support zone holds.

TRADE IDEAS

1. BTC/USD

   • Trend: Bullish

   • Buy at 118,778

   • Stop Loss: 116,923

   • Take Profit: 124,684

     

2. EUR/USD

   • Trend: Bearish

   • Sell at 1.16515

   • Stop Loss: 1.17315

   • Take Profit: 1.14915

   • 

KEY EVENTS TODAY

12:00 AM – USD – President Trump Speaks

9:00 AM – CNY – Industrial Production (y/y)

• Actual: 5.7% | Forecast: 6.0% | Previous: 6.8%

CNY – Retail Sales (y/y)

• Actual: 3.7% | Forecast: 4.6% | Previous: 4.8%

7:30 PM – USD – Core Retail Sales (m/m)

• Actual: 0.3% | Forecast: 0.5%

USD – Retail Sales (m/m)

• Actual: 0.6% | Forecast: 0.6%

USD – Empire State Manufacturing Index

• Actual: -1.2 | Forecast: 5.5

9:00 PM – USD – Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment

• Actual: 61.9 | Forecast: 61.7

USD – Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations

• Actual: 4.5%

DISCLAIMER

• The above opinions represent only the personal views of analyst Tony from Lotus and are not a basis for actual market participation.

• Lotus provides only technical trading analysis and trading knowledge training for students.

• Lotus does not represent any securities company or asset management firm.

• Lotus does not manage funds for students.