News

Release Time: 10:00, August 13, 2025

Issuer: Mr. Tony

MARKET OVERVIEW

1. Stock Market:

• Vietnam:
  Trend: The market is in a strong and fairly sustainable uptrend, as shown by a continuous series of green candles and a clearly upward-sloping EMA. Each pullback is quickly bought up, indicating strong capital inflows into the market. Currently, the VN30 index is at a new all-time high, with no clear signs of weakening.
  Key Resistance: 1,630 – 1,635: This is the current price range, also the newly formed historical peak. If 1,635 is decisively breached with high volume, the uptrend could extend toward 1,660 – 1,680.

• United States:
  Trend: After a sharp decline in early August, the US30 has recovered, with the EMA starting to slope upward, suggesting a short-term bullish bias. However, the rebound is still weak compared to the previous decline, and prices are facing nearby resistance.
  Resistance: 44,500 – 44,550: The recent rebound high; breaking above this could open the way to 44,900 – 45,000.
  Support: 44,250 – 44,300: Near-term support (EMA).
  43,900 – 44,000: Stronger support, the bottom of the previous pullback.
  Short-term bias is bullish, but a breakout above 44,550 is needed to confirm a stronger trend; if 44,250 breaks, a return to 44,000 is likely.

2. Forex:

• EUR/USD
  Trend: Short-term uptrend after a strong rebound from the early-month low, with EMA pointing upward, but facing nearby resistance.
  Resistance: 1.1710 – 1.1720 and 1.1780 – 1.1800.
  Support: 1.1640 – 1.1650 (near EMA), followed by 1.1580 – 1.1600.

• USD/JPY
  Trend: Short-term sideways after a sharp drop from the early-month high; EMA is relatively flat, showing no clear trend.
  Resistance: 148.8 – 149.0, and stronger at 150.8 – 151.0.
  Support: 147.4 – 147.6, followed by 146.6 – 146.8.

3. Gold:

Trend: Short-term downtrend, with prices consolidating after a decline; EMA still pointing downward.

Resistance: 3,400 – 3,405 and 3,440 – 3,445.
Support: 3,340 – 3,345 and 3,300 – 3,305 (stronger), deeper at 3,260.

4. Oil:

Trend: Strong downtrend, with EMA sloping clearly downward; no reversal signals yet, and prices are at a new low.

Resistance: 63.8 – 64.0 (near EMA), followed by 66.0 – 66.2.
Support: 62.5 – 62.7 (near current low), deeper at 61.8 – 62.0.

5. Crypto:

Trend: Short-term uptrend after breaking the previous downtrend, with EMA pointing upward, but prices are stalling at resistance.

Resistance: 120,800 – 121,000, and stronger at 121,800 – 122,000.
Support: 119,000 – 119,200 (near EMA), followed by 117,800 – 118,000.

TRADE IDEA

1. USD/JPY

   • Trend: Bullish

   • Buy at 148.050, stop loss 147.550, take profit 149.050

   • 

KEY EVENTS TODAY

1:00 AM – USD
Federal Budget Balance
Actual: -291.1B | Forecast: -206.7B | Previous: 27.0B

3:30 AM – USD
API Weekly Statistical Bulletin

6:50 AM – JPY
Producer Price Index (PPI) y/y
Actual: 2.6% | Forecast: 2.5% | Previous: 2.9%

8:30 AM – AUD
Wage Price Index q/q
Actual: 0.8% | Forecast: 0.8% | Previous: 0.9%

1:00 PM – EUR
German Final CPI m/m
Actual: 0.3% | Forecast: 0.3%

EUR
German WPI m/m
Actual: 0.2% | Forecast: 0.2%

JPY
Prelim Machine Tool Orders y/y
Actual: -0.5%

(Time Unspecified) – CNY
New Loans
Actual: 305B | Forecast: 2240B

M2 Money Supply y/y
Actual: 8.3% | Forecast: 8.3%

(Time Unspecified) – EUR
German 10-year Bond Auction
Result: 2.62 | Bid-to-cover ratio: 1.5

7:00 PM – USD
FOMC Member Barkin Speaks

9:30 PM – USD
Crude Oil Inventories
Actual: -0.9M | Forecast: -3.0M

DISCLAIMER

• The above analysis reflects only the personal views of analyst Tony from Lotus and is not a basis for actual market participation.

• Lotus only provides technical trading analysis and trading education for students.

• Lotus does not represent any securities company or asset management company.

• Lotus does not manage students’ funds.