Stocks, Gold, Oil, Bitcoin, Forex: Hot Developments in Early June and Key Forecasts!

Release Time: 10:00 AM, June 05, 2025 Issuer: Mr. Leon
MARKET OVERVIEW

  1. Stock Market:

    • Vietnam Market: The market is cautious around the 1,350 point mark with reduced liquidity, indicating a probing stance from both buyers and sellers. The lack of a decisive breakthrough suggests that a sideways trend may continue. If the 1,345–1,350 point range is successfully breached with good liquidity, the upward trend will be consolidated and extended.
    • US Market: The US stock market on June 4, 2025, saw mixed movements. The Nasdaq Composite continued to rise slightly, while the S&P 500 remained largely flat and the Dow Jones Industrial Average saw a slight decline. This indicates a pause after a recent strong rally, as investors await further information on economic conditions and Fed policy.
  2. Foreign Exchange:

    • GBP/USD: Short-term bearish trend. Today, selling positions can be considered. Daily resistance: 1.35600.
    • USD/JPY: Short-term recovery and upward trend. Today, buying positions can be considered. Daily support: 142.700.
  3. Gold:

    • Current Price: ~$3,366 – $3,377 USD/ounce
    • Increase from Yesterday: +$27 to +31 USD (~+0.8–1%)
    • Main Reasons:
      • USD weakened against major currencies after information from the Federal Reserve (Fed) about the possibility of maintaining interest rates for longer.
      • Safe-haven demand increased again as the market worries about instability from trade tariff negotiations among the US, China, and the EU.
  4. Oil:

    • XTI/USD: Long-term bearish trend, short-term trend unclear. Limit trading today.
  5. Bitcoin:

    • Current Price: ~$104,800 – $105,300 USD
    • 24-hour Performance: Slight decrease of –0.6%, trading in a narrow range.
    • Main Reasons:
      • The market is awaiting clear signals from US monetary policy; there's no strong enough catalyst to break the range.
      • Liquidity slightly weakened; 24-hour trading volume decreased to ~$44 billion USD.
      • Investor sentiment remains positive due to expectations of an upcoming Ethereum ETF approval (indirectly affecting BTC).

ACTION PLAN

  1. EUR/USD:

    • Trend: bullish
    • Recommendation: Buy at 1.14127, stop loss 1.13521, take profit 1.15379
  2. Vietnam Stocks: HCM

    • Recommendation: BUY HCM (05/06/2025), entry price 25,700 - 26,300 VND, target 1: 28,000 VND, target 2: 30,500 VND, cut loss 24,900 VND.

NOTABLE EVENTS TODAY:

  • 19:15 - EUR: MAIN REFINANCING RATE
  • 19:30 - USD: UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS
  • 19:45 - EUR: ECB PRESS CONFERENCE

DISCLAIMER

  • The above analysis represents only the personal views of analyst Leon from Lotus and should not be used as a basis for actual market participation.
  • Lotus only provides technical trading analysis and trading knowledge training for its students.
  • Lotus does not represent any securities company or asset management company.
  • Lotus does not manage students' funds.